Classified in: Business
Subjects: EARNINGS, Conference Call, Webcast

Radian Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, of $143 million, or $0.91 per diluted share. This compares with net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, of $162 million, or $1.01 per diluted share.

Net income for the full year 2023 was $603 million, or $3.77 per diluted share. This compares with net income for the full year 2022 of $743 million, or $4.35 per diluted share.

Adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, was $192 million, or $0.96 per diluted share. This compares with adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, of $213 million, or $1.05 per diluted share.

Adjusted pretax operating income for the full year 2023 was $786 million, or $3.88 per diluted share. This compares with adjusted pretax operating income for the full year 2022, of $1.1 billion, or $4.87 per diluted share.

Book value per share at December 31, 2023, was $28.71, compared to $26.69 at September 30, 2023, and $24.95 at December 31, 2022. This represents a 15% growth in book value per share at December 31, 2023, as compared to December 31, 2022, and includes accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) of $(2.16) per share as of December 31, 2023, and $(2.91) per share as of December 31, 2022. Changes in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) are primarily from net unrealized gains or losses on investments as a result of decreases or increases, respectively, in market interest rates.

"We reported another successful year for Radian in 2023, increasing book value per share by 15% year-over-year, generating net income of $603 million and delivering a return on equity of approximately 15%. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, total revenues grew to $1.2 billion and our primary mortgage insurance in force, which is the main driver of future earnings for our company, reached an all-time high of $270 billion," said Radian's Chief Executive Officer Rick Thornberry. "We continue to strategically manage capital, and in 2023 paid $400 million of ordinary dividends from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group and returned $279 million of capital to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases. We accomplished all of this working together as a "One Radian" team and look forward to the opportunities ahead in 2024."

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR HIGHLIGHTS

• NIW was $10.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $13.9 billion in the third quarter of 2023, and $12.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022. NIW was $52.7 billion for the full year 2023, compared to $68.0 billion for the prior year.
  • Purchase NIW decreased 24% in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the third quarter of 2023 and decreased 17% compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Refinances accounted for 1% of total NIW in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to 1% in the third quarter of 2023, and 2% in the fourth quarter of 2022.
• Total primary mortgage insurance in force of $270.0 billion as of December 31, 2023, increased slightly as compared to $269.5 billion as of September 30, 2023, and increased 3% compared to $261.0 billion as of December 31, 2022.
  • The year-over-year change reflects a 6% increase in monthly premium policy insurance in force and a 10% decline in single premium policy insurance in force.
  • Persistency, which is the percentage of mortgage insurance that remains in force after a twelve-month period, was 84% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2023, compared to 84% for the twelve months ended September 30, 2023, and 80% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022.
  • Annualized persistency for the three months ended December 31, 2023, was 86%, compared to 84% for the three months ended September 30, 2023, and 84% for the three months ended December 31, 2022.
• Net mortgage insurance premiums earned were $230 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $237 million for the third quarter of 2023, and $230 million for the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Mortgage insurance in force portfolio premium yield was 38.1 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2023. This compares to 38.0 basis points in the third quarter of 2023, and 38.1 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • The impact of single premium policy cancellations before consideration of reinsurance represented 0.3 basis points of direct premium yield in the fourth quarter of 2023, 0.5 basis points in the third quarter of 2023, and 0.9 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Total net mortgage insurance premium yield, which includes the impact of ceded premiums earned and accrued profit commission, was 34.2 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2023. This compares to 35.3 basis points in the third quarter of 2023, and 35.4 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Details regarding premiums earned may be found in Exhibit D.
• The mortgage insurance provision for losses was $5 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to benefits of $8 million and $44 million in the third quarter of 2023 and fourth quarter of 2022, respectively.
  • Favorable reserve development on prior period defaults was $49 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $55 million in the third quarter of 2023 and $90 million in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • The number of primary delinquent loans was 22,021 as of December 31, 2023, compared to 20,406 as of September 30, 2023, and 21,913 as of December 31, 2022.
  • The loss ratio in the fourth quarter of 2023 was 2.0%, compared to (3.5)% in the third quarter of 2023, and (18.9)% in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $5 million in the third quarter of 2023, and $8 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. For the full year 2023, total net claims paid, which includes the impact of settlements and commutations, were $14 million, compared to $21 million for the full year 2022.
• Radian's homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents and corporations for their employees.
  • Total homegenius segment revenues for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $15 million, compared to $15 million for the third quarter of 2023, and $19 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. Total homegenius segment revenues for the full year of 2023 were $58 million, compared to $110 million for the full year of 2022.
  • Adjusted pretax operating loss, our primary segment measure of profitability for the homegenius segment, was $18 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $21 million for the third quarter of 2023, and $31 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. Adjusted pretax operating loss for the full year 2023 was $86 million, compared to $88 million for the full year 2022.
• Other operating expenses were $95 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to $79 million in the third quarter of 2023, and $110 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. Other operating expenses were $348 million for the full year 2023, compared to $381 million for the full year 2022.
  • Other operating expenses increased in the fourth quarter of 2023 as compared to the third quarter of 2023, primarily due to $14 million of impairments of long-lived assets and other non-operating items recognized in the fourth quarter of 2023, related to our lease-related assets and internal-use software.
  • Additional details regarding other operating expenses may be found in Exhibit D.

CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Radian Group

• As of December 31, 2023, Radian Group maintained $992 million of available liquidity. Total holding company liquidity, including the company's $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility, was $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2023.
• Radian Group paid a dividend on its common stock in the amount of $0.225 per share, totaling $34 million on December 12, 2023. For the full year 2023, the company paid total dividends of $146 million.
• During the fourth quarter of 2023, the company repurchased 2.4 million shares of Radian Group common stock at a total cost of $63 million, including commissions. For the full year 2023, the company repurchased 5.3 million shares of Radian Group common stock at a total cost of $133 million, including commissions. As of December 31, 2023, purchase authority of up to $167 million remained available under the existing program.

Radian Guaranty

• In the fourth quarter of 2023, Radian Guaranty paid an ordinary dividend to Radian Group of $100 million, bringing the total ordinary dividends paid from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group during the year to $400 million.
• At December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty's Available Assets under PMIERs totaled approximately $5.9 billion, resulting in PMIERs excess Available Assets of $2.3 billion, compared to $1.7 billion as of September 30, 2023.
• As previously announced, in October 2023, Radian Guaranty improved its capital position and enhanced its risk distribution program with the closing of two risk distribution transactions.
  • A fully collateralized mortgage insurance-linked-note reinsurance transaction, in which the company obtained $353 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage from Eagle Re 2023-1 Ltd. on mortgage insurance losses on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.8 billion that were issued between April 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022.
  • A traditional excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement, in which the company obtained $246 million of aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage from a panel of third-party reinsurers on mortgage insurance losses on an existing portfolio of eligible policies with RIF of $8.0 billion that were issued between October 1, 2021, and March 31, 2022.

RECENT EVENTS

• On January 8, 2024, S&P Global Ratings ("S&P") upgraded the insurance financial strength (IFS) rating of Radian Guaranty to A- from BBB+. In the same rating action, S&P also upgraded the senior unsecured debt rating of Radian Group Inc. to BBB- from BB+. The outlook for the ratings is stable.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss fourth quarter 2023 financial results in a conference call tomorrow, Thursday, February 8, 2024, at 12:00 p.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be webcast live on the company's website at https://radian.com/who-we-are/for-investors/webcasts or at www.radian.com. The webcast is listen-only. Those interested in participating in the question-and-answer session should follow the conference call dial-in instructions below.

The call may be accessed via telephone by registering for the call here to receive the dial-in numbers and unique PIN. It is recommended that you join 10 minutes prior to the event start (although you may register and dial in at any time during the call).

A digital replay of the webcast will be available on Radian's website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year at https://radian.com/who-we-are/for-investors/webcasts.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's website at www.radian.com, under Investors.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

Radian believes that adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity (non-GAAP measures) facilitate evaluation of the company's fundamental financial performance and provide relevant and meaningful information to investors about the ongoing operating results of the company. On a consolidated basis, these measures are not recognized in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) and should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP measures of performance. The measures described below have been established in order to increase transparency for the purpose of evaluating the company's operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with Radian's competitors.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt. Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the company's statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the company's statutory tax rate, by average stockholders' equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

See Exhibit F or Radian's website for a description of these items, as well as Exhibit G for reconciliations to the most comparable consolidated GAAP measures.

ABOUT RADIAN

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) is ensuring the American dream of homeownership responsibly and sustainably through products and services that include industry-leading mortgage insurance and a comprehensive suite of mortgage, risk, title, valuation, asset management and other real estate services. We are powered by technology, informed by data and driven to deliver new and better ways to transact and manage risk. Visit www.radian.com and homegenius.com to learn more about how Radian and its pioneering homegenius platform are building a smarter future for mortgage and real estate services.

FINANCIAL RESULTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONTENTS (Unaudited)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
Exhibit A (page 1 of 2)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
Exhibit A (page 2 of 2)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Net Income Per Share
Exhibit B

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit C

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Net Premiums Earned and Other Operating Expenses
Exhibit D (page 1 of 2)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Net Premiums Earned
Exhibit D (page 2 of 2)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Exhibit E (page 1 of 5)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Exhibit E (page 2 of 5)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Exhibit E (page 3 of 5)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Exhibit E (page 4 of 5)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Exhibit E (page 5 of 5)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Exhibit F (page 1 of 2)

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented "adjusted pretax operating income (loss)," "adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share" and "adjusted net operating return on equity," which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations. Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian's chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt. Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the company's statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the company's statutory tax rate, by average stockholders' equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Exhibit F (page 2 of 2)

See Exhibit G for the reconciliations of the most comparable GAAP measures, consolidated pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share and return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, respectively.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share, return on equity or net income (loss). Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) and adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 1 of 4)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 2 of 4)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 3 of 4)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations
Exhibit G (page 4 of 4)

On a consolidated basis, "adjusted pretax operating income (loss)," "adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share" and "adjusted net operating return on equity" are measures not determined in accordance with GAAP. These measures should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share, return on equity or net income (loss).

Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies. See Exhibit F for additional information on our consolidated non-GAAP financial measures.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - New Insurance Written
Exhibit H

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
Exhibit I

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

All statements in this press release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as "anticipate," "may," "will," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "intend," "plan," "goal," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," "seek," "strategy," "future," "likely" or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment where new risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and the forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation:

• the health of the U.S. housing market generally and changes in economic conditions that impact the size of the insurable mortgage market, the credit performance of our insured mortgage portfolio and our business prospects, including changes resulting from inflationary pressures, the higher interest rate environment and the risk of higher unemployment rates, as well as other macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties, including potential impacts resulting from geopolitical events;
• changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects;
• Radian Guaranty's ability to remain eligible under the PMIERs to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
• our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy current and future regulatory requirements;
• changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to, the GSEs or loans purchased by the GSEs, or changes in the requirements for Radian Guaranty to remain an approved insurer to the GSEs, such as changes in the PMIERs or the GSEs' interpretation and application of the PMIERs or other applicable requirements;
• the effects of the ERCF, which establishes a new regulatory capital framework for the GSEs, and which, as finalized, increases the capital requirements for the GSEs, and among other things, could impact the GSEs' operations and pricing as well as the size of the insurable mortgage market;
• changes in the current housing finance system in the United States, including the roles of the FHA, the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system;
• our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our risk distribution strategy through the capital markets and traditional reinsurance markets, and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our liquidity needs;
• our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including plans and strategies that may require GSE and/or regulatory approvals and licenses, that are subject to complex compliance requirements that we may be unable to satisfy, or that may expose us to new risks, including those that could impact our capital and liquidity positions;
• risks related to the quality of third-party mortgage underwriting and mortgage servicing;
• a decrease in the Persistency Rates of our mortgage insurance on Monthly Premium Policies;
• competition in the private mortgage insurance industry generally, and more specifically: price competition in our mortgage insurance business, including the prevalence of formulaic, granular risk-based pricing methodologies that are less transparent than historical rate-card-based pricing practices; and competition from the FHA and the VA as well as from other forms of credit enhancement, such as any potential GSE-sponsored alternatives to traditional mortgage insurance;
• U.S. political conditions and legislative and regulatory activity (or inactivity), including adoption of (or failure to adopt) new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied;
• legal and regulatory claims, assertions, actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures, new or increased reserves or have other effects on our business;
• the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations;
• the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downturn or a period of extreme market volatility and economic uncertainty, the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business or to accurately calculate and/or project our Available Assets and Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which could be impacted by, among other things, the size and mix of our IIF, future changes to the PMIERs, the level of defaults in our portfolio, the reported status of defaults in our portfolio (including whether they are subject to mortgage forbearance, a repayment plan or a loan modification trial period), the level of cash flow generated by our insurance operations and our risk distribution strategies;
• volatility in our financial results caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including with respect to our use of derivatives and within our investment portfolio;
• changes in GAAP or SAP rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
• risks associated with investments to grow our existing businesses, or to pursue new lines of business or new products and services, including our ability and related costs to develop, launch and implement new and innovative technologies and digital products and services, whether these products and services receive broad customer acceptance or disrupt existing customer relationships, and additional financial risks related to these investments, including required changes in our investment, financing and hedging strategies, risks associated with our increased use of financial leverage, which could expose us to liquidity risks resulting from changes in the fair values of assets, and the risk that we may fail to achieve forecasted results, which could result in lower or negative earnings contribution and/or impairment charges associated with intangible assets;
• the effectiveness and security of our information technology systems and digital products and services, including the risk that these systems, products or services fail to operate as expected or planned or expose us to cybersecurity or third-party risks, including due to malware, unauthorized access, cyberattack, ransomware or other similar events;
• our ability to attract and retain key employees;
• the amount of dividends, if any, that our insurance subsidiaries may distribute to us, which under applicable regulatory requirements is based primarily on the financial performance of our insurance subsidiaries, and therefore, may be impacted by general economic, competitive and other factors, many of which are beyond our control; and
• the ability of our operating subsidiaries to distribute amounts to us under our internal tax- and expense-sharing arrangements, which for our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulatory review and could be terminated at the discretion of such regulators.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and to subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this press release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

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