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Classified in: Science and technology
Subjects: Economic News/Analysis, Business Update

Global Blue Releases the Monthly Tax Free Shopping Business Update for March 2023


Fresh data from Global Blue (NYSE:GB) shows that the dynamic recovery for Tax Free Shopping has continued to strengthen across Continental Europe and Asia Pacific.

Globally, Issued Sales in Store like-for-like recovery has accelerated, reaching 110%1 in March vs. 90%1 in February and 102%1 in January.

This acceleration of the recovery in March is largely due to the progressive return of Mainland Chinese Shoppers while the Issued Sales in Stores like-for-like for US and GCC residents have remained at very high levels compared to pre-pandemic levels.

Continental Europe recovery surpasses last months' average

In Continental Europe, the recovery reached 119%1 in March vs. 100%1 in February and 106%1 in January.

In terms of origin markets, the return of Mainland Chinese residents (25% of Continental Europe Sales in Stores in 2019) has been key to the strengthening recovery. Mainland Chinese shopper recovery reached 49%1 in March vs. 22%1 in February and 22%1 in January.

US shoppers are also contributing to the continued Sales in Store like-for-like recovery in Continental Europe, reaching 284%1 in March vs. 284%1 in February and 297%1 in January.

At the same time, the recovery level of Gulf Cooperation Council residents remains strong, despite the start of Ramadan, a period when they typically do not tend to travel. Gulf Cooperation Council residents' recovery reached 264%1 in March vs. 286%1 in February and 224%1 in January.

Asian shopper recovery (excluding Mainland China) remains solid despite a softening of Indonesian and Malaysian shoppers linked to the beginning of Ramadan. South East Asia shopper recovery reached 145%1 in March vs. 175%1 in February and 153%1 in January.

In terms of destination markets, the acceleration in March was across all destinations, predominantly led by Greece at 176%1, France at 154%1, Spain at 133%1, Switzerland at 122%1 and Italy at 112%1.

Progressing recovery across most nationalities in Asia Pacific

In Asia Pacific, recovery reached 93%1 in March vs. 74%1 in February and 96%1 in January.

In terms of origin markets, the return of Mainland Chinese shoppers (56% of Asia Pacific Sales in Stores in 2019) has also been key to the strengthening recovery in Asia Pacific. In March, Mainland Chinese shopper recovery in Singapore reached 69%1 vs. 25%1 in February and 45%1 in January, whilst in South Korea, Mainland Chinese shopper recovery reached 59%1 in March vs. 36%1 in February and 46%1 in January.

With regards to the other origin market nationalities, Hong Kong and Taiwan residents have an elevated recovery level at 371%1 in March vs. 347%1 in February and 385%1 in January. This was followed by South East Asia residents at 155%1 in March vs. 149%1 in February and 133%1 in January.

Regarding destination markets, Japan is leading the Sales in Store like-for-like recovery, reaching 96%1 in March, with Singapore at 91%1 and South Korea at 80%1.

A gradual recovery for Mainland Chinese shoppers

Since the reopening of China's border in January 2023, air capacity recovery from Mainland China to key destinations has been gradually increasing.

In Continental Europe, air capacity recovery reached 22%2 in March vs. 18%2 in February and 10%2 in January. In Asia Pacific, air capacity recovery reached 14%2 in March vs. 10%2 in February and 9%2 in January.

On the back of this progressive air capacity recovery, we have seen a steady improvement in the Sales in Store like-for-like recovery in all markets. In Continental Europe, the recovery reached 49%1 in March vs. 22%1 in February and 22%1 in January. In Asia Pacific, the recovery reached 40%1 in March vs. 27%1 in February and 38%1 in January.

Moreover, it is anticipated that the recovery of Mainland Chinese shoppers will continue to gain momentum in the second quarter, given the projected increase in air capacity2.

Projected Air capacity recovery from Mainland China2

 

 

April

2023

 

May

2023

June 2023

Q3 2023

Continental Europe

36%

41%

42%

44%

Asia Pacific

31%

37%

38%

38%

APPENDIX

YTD Data

Issued SIS L/L recovery1

(in % of 2019)

 

March

2023

 

 

February

2023

 

 

January

2023

 

Q4

2022

Q3

2022

Q2

2022

Q1

2022

Continental Europe

119%

100%

106%

104%

101%

75%

53%

Asia Pacific

93%

74%

96%

80%

51%

39%

16%

TOTAL

110%

90%

102%

97%

89%

65%

40%

Glossary

- Gulf Cooperation Council countries include: Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Oman

- South East Asia includes: Indonesia, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore

- North East Asia includes: Japan, South Korea

ABOUT GLOBAL BLUE

Global Blue pioneered the concept of Tax Free Shopping 40 years ago. Through continuous innovation, we have become the leading strategic technology and payments partner, empowering retailers to improve their performance and shoppers to enhance their experience.

Global Blue offers innovative solutions in three different fields:

In addition, our data and advisory services offer a strategic advisory to help retailers identify opportunities for growth, while our shopper experience and engagement solutions provide data-driven solutions to increase footfall, convert footfall to revenue and enhance performance.

For more information, visit http://www.globalblue.com/corporate/

Global Blue Monthly Speaker Notes Data, January 2023, Source: Global Blue

1 Recovery rate is equal to 2023 Issued Sales in Store divided by 2019 Issued Sales in Store, like-for-like (i.e.: at constant merchant scope and exchange rates).

2 Air capacity: ForwardKeys data platform ? March 2023


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