NEW YORK, Oct. 20, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Measure of CEO Confidencetm in collaboration with The Business Council rose sharply in the final month of Q3, after a moderate increase in the first month of Q3. The measure stands at 64, up from 45. (A reading above 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses.)
Capital spending plans improved, with 25 percent of CEOs anticipating increased spending over the next 12 months, up from only 15 percent earlier in the quarter. Moreover, 36 percent foresaw upward revisions in capital spending beyond the next 12 months. The employment picture was more mixed: Hiring plans cooled, and the potential for layoffs remained, with one-third of CEOs saying they anticipate reducing their workforce over the next 12 months. Slower economic growth and demand translated into smaller wage gains and potential pay cuts, with 21 percent of CEOs foreseeing no increase in their employees' wages and 5 percent saying they may reduce wages. However, expectations were that this is temporary, and wages will be on a much better trajectory beyond the next 12 months.
"CEOs entered Q4 significantly more upbeat than they were earlier this year," said Dana Peterson, Chief Economist of The Conference Board. "Notably, talent shortages eased in the wake of COVID-19 and nearly two-thirds of business leaders said they anticipated little, if any, problems with attracting qualified workers. Nonetheless, uncertainty around the pandemic?and its aftermath?remains a risk to Q4's newfound optimism as we enter 2021."
CEOs were asked to predict the pandemic's most important long-term impacts. More than 8 out of 10 named accelerating digital transformation among the key legacies of COVID-19. Additionally, 48 percent of CEOs cited increased demand for transparency in communication and information-sharing across the organization, while 45 percent felt the need to rethink current business models.
"CEOs across industries continue to adapt to COVID-19's new normal," said Roger W. Ferguson, Jr., Vice Chairman of The Business Council and Trustee of The Conference Board. "While Q4 saw a resurgence of optimism, leaders are also cognizant of?and planning for?what may be permanent shifts in consumer preferences and organizational expectations ahead."
Current Conditions
CEOs' assessment of general economic conditions improved significantly compared to the start of Q3:
CEOs also expressed greater optimism about conditions in their own industries compared to earlier in Q3:
Future Conditions
By contrast, expectations about the short-term economic outlook have only moderately improved since the start of Q3:
CEOs' expectations regarding short-term prospects in their own industries have also turned more positive since the start of Q3:
Capital Spending, Employment, Recruiting, and Wages
The survey also gauged CEOs' expectations about four key actions their companies plan on taking over the next 12 months.
Source: CEO Confidence Survey, September 2020 / The Conference Board
The CEO Confidence survey was fielded from September 17th through September 30th.
About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is the member-driven think tank that delivers trusted insights for what's ahead. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org
About The Business Council
The Business Council is a forum for the CEOs of the world's largest multinational corporations across all industry sectors. Members gather several times each year to share best practices, network and engage in intellectually provocative, enlightening discussions with peers and thought-leaders in business, government, academia, science, technology and other disciplines. Through the medium of discussion, the Council seeks to foster greater understanding of the major opportunities and challenges facing business, and to create consensus for solutions. Visit The Business Council's website at www.thebusinesscouncil.org
SOURCE The Conference Board
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