Le Lézard
Classified in: Science and technology
Subject: Economic News/Analysis

The Race to Homeownership: Gen Z Tracking Ahead of Their Parents' Generation, Millennials Behind

(NASDAQ: RDFN) ? Nearly one-third (30%) of 25-year-olds owned their home in 2022, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That's slightly higher than homeownership rates for millennials (28%) and Gen Xers (27%) when they were 25, and slightly lower than the rate for baby boomers (32%) when they were 25.

Some Gen Zers were able to take advantage of record-low mortgage rates in 2020 and 2021 to buy homes, putting the generation on a slightly better homeownership trajectory than their parents. But those who didn't buy homes during that period may struggle to break into the market now that housing costs have shot up, and the economy is showing signs of slowing.

Gen Zers tracking along with their parents' homeownership rate is counter to the common narrative that it's more difficult for today's 20-somethings to buy homes than in generations past. In fact, Gen Z homeowners spent the same portion of their income on housing in 2021 (the most recent year for which income data is available) as they did three decades earlier.

A 25-year-old's median monthly mortgage payment was $1,013 in 2021, 16% of their $74,900 median income. That's compared with a median $904 monthly payment for a 25-year-old in 1990, 16% of their $69,419 median income (adjusted for inflation). It's worth noting that 25-year-olds buying a home now likely spend a higher portion of their income on monthly payments than those who bought in 2021, as mortgage rates have increased.

Young adults rode the rising tide of low mortgage rates and a strong job market to buy homes during the pandemic

Many Gen Zers took advantage of 3% mortgage rates to become homeowners in 2020 and 2021. The typical mortgage rate for homebuyers under 25 using a conventional loan was 3.3% in 2020 and 3.1% in 2021. They have also benefited from a strong job market and double-digit wage growth. For 16-24 year olds, wages rose 12% from a year earlier in January, roughly double the increase for the overall population. Young adults' incomes have risen quickly largely thanks to the tight pandemic-era labor market.

"The rising tide lifted Gen Z homebuyers in 2020 and 2021; they were part of the pandemic-driven homebuying frenzy," said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. "Record-low mortgage rates, remote work providing freedom to move somewhere more affordable and skyrocketing rental costs motivated some Gen Zers to break into the housing market. While the oldest of their generation had just graduated college when the pandemic started and hadn't started building up their bank accounts, they had some financial advantages. The unemployment rate was near record lows in late 2021 and 2022, with pandemic-related labor shortages in industries that attract young workers like hospitality and retail prompting those employers to boost pay. Government stimulus payments, the pause on student loan repayments and the fact that many young adults lived with family during the lockdowns also helped Gen Zers save money."

Younger homebuyers need less money than their older counterparts because they tend to buy cheaper homes with smaller down payments. That's partly because people under 25 may be more flexible about home size and location than an older person who's more likely to have children and places more value on proximity to certain schools and their office.

In 2022, the typical primary residence purchased by someone under 25 cost $235,000 and came with a $10,000 down payment (assuming a conventional loan). That's compared to $355,000 ($30,000 down payment) for 25-34 year olds, and $405,000 ($50,000 down payment) for 45-54 year olds.

Gen Zers who don't yet own homes face several obstacles and may fall behind. Low mortgage rates helped some Gen Zers buy homes with relatively low incomes over the last few years, but many are priced out now that rates are above 6% and home prices remain well above pre-pandemic levels.

Additionally, the Fed's interest-rate hikes may cause a recession, which could set the generation back financially, and the average Gen Zer has even more student debt than millennials (although higher education may lead to higher-paying jobs). And the Gen Zers who can afford a home may not find one, with a limited supply of homes for sale.

Millennials, unlike Gen Zers, are tracking behind older generations' homeownership rates

Sixty-two percent of 40-year-olds?some of the oldest millennials?owned their home in 2022. That's compared with 69% of baby boomers when they were 40 and 64% of Gen Xers when they were 40.

Younger millennials are also behind. Just over two in five (43%) 30-year-olds owned their home in 2022, compared with roughly half of baby boomers (52%) and Gen Xers (49%) when they were 30.

"Millennials have been financially unlucky. Their parents had a more straightforward financial journey," said Fairweather. "The oldest millennials entered the workforce during the 2001 recession. Then came the 2008 financial crisis, with many millennials in their first post-college job. It limited their earnings, overall wealth and ability to buy a home for many years afterward. Millennials started to gain homebuying momentum just before the pandemic, but they were once again dealt a bad hand with pandemic-related job losses in April 2020."

Older Americans most likely to own their homes; young Americans least likely

Overall, 26% of adult Gen Zers own their home. That's compared with 79% of baby boomers, the highest share of any generation, followed by Gen X (71%) and millennials (52%).

Millennials make up the biggest piece of the homebuying pie

Millennials, along with the oldest Gen Zers and youngest Gen Xers, made up the lion's share of home purchasers last year. People aged 25 to 34 bought one in three (33%) of primary homes that sold in the U.S. last year, the highest share of any age group. They're followed by 35-44 year olds, who bought 27% of them.

Gen Zers are players in the homebuying game, though their share is small. People under 25 bought just over one in 20 (6%) of homes that sold last year. This home-purchase data includes only homes to be used as a primary residence that were purchased with a mortgage; roughly 30% of homes were bought in cash last year.

Younger people move more often and buy more homes than older generations because their life stages beget moving. Roughly half of homeowners under 35 own their home for less than three years, versus 15% of 35-64 year olds and 7% of homeowners 65 and older.

People in their 20s and 30s are entering the workforce, moving to different parts of the country, settling into their careers and turning from renters into homeowners, events that often require or at least encourage a move. Many of them are also getting married and having children, which often prompts a move to a different neighborhood and/or a bigger house.

Gen Z homebuyers are most prevalent in affordable areas; millennials buy in tech hubs

People under the age of 25 bought roughly 9% of the primary homes that sold in Virginia Beach, VA last year, a bigger share than anywhere else in the country. Next come Cincinnati, OH (8.5%), Detroit, MI (7.9%), St. Louis, MO (7.5%) and Indianapolis, IN (7.1%).

Those places are all relatively affordable, making it easier for young homebuyers to break into the market. In each of those metros, the typical home bought by a Gen Zer sold for $255,000 or less in 2022.

Virginia Beach is home to one of the biggest military bases in the U.S., and nearly half of mortgaged home sales there use VA loans, which are available to service members and require very low or no down payments. The ability to put just a small amount down is advantageous for young buyers who haven't built up a lot of savings.

The oldest Gen Zers and young millennials are buying big chunks of the housing stock in tech hubs. People aged 25-34 bought 41.4% of the primary homes that sold in Seattle last year, the highest share in the U.S. It's followed by Philadelphia (40.6%), Pittsburgh (39.8%), San Jose, CA (39.7%) and Austin, TX (39.6%).

To view the full report, including charts and metro-level data, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/gen-z-millennial-homeownership-rate-home-purchases

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 5,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email [email protected]. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

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