Le Lézard
Classified in: Environment, Transportation
Subject: Product/Service

?Navigating Through Turbulence' ? Avolon Publishes 2020 Outlook Paper


Avolon, the international aircraft leasing company, issued its 2020 outlook paper titled ?Navigating Through Turbulence'. The paper, written by Avolon's Jim Morrison and Steve Mason, reviews key aviation industry trends in 2019 and offers fearless forecasts for 2020.

The full paper is available at: https://www.avolon.aero/newsroom-and-thoughts

2020 ?Fearless Forecasts'

  1. The 737 is Here to Stay: Boeing's 737 MAX will safely return to revenue service in 2020. Airlines and passengers will turn up to fly. Trading markets will re-open and values will be supported by strong demand for Boeing's most popular product. The world needs more Boeing aircraft to support growing demand for air travel.
  2. No New Major Commercial Aircraft Programs will be Launched: Manufacturers will return to their knitting: on-time deliveries. The A321XLR will compete uncontested as Boeing will not launch the NMA in 2020. Talk of single-aisle replacement aircraft will be quieted as regulators verify the strengths of the current offerings.
  3. Manufacturers to Prioritise Deliveries in 2020: The mid-life space may cool as manufacturers get back on-track with deliveries and passenger traffic remains near the long-term trend. Airlines may find themselves flying fewer hours per aircraft or pushing older metal out as new A320s and 737s are injected to the operating fleet.
  4. Access to Capital: Despite economic headwinds and increasing geopolitical unrest, capital markets will remain open to established players, confirming the benefit of an investment grade rating. The ABS market will see strong demand for issuances in 2020, continuing its 2019 pace.
  5. Environment as a Higher Purpose: Aviation gets serious about the environment with an increasing number of concrete proposals from a variety of players to meet the 2050 industry goal of a reduction in net aviation carbon emissions of 50% by 2050, relative to 2005 levels. In 2020, urban mobility solutions will demonstrate electrification of air travel is feasible, if at first only on short sectors.

Jim Morrison, Vice President - Aircraft Evaluation commented: "The end of the decade marks a period of remarkable achievement for the aviation industry with a full decade of airline profitability. However, 2019 will be remembered as much for the lows as the highs."

"The year was headlined by aircraft manufacturers. The aviation industry grappled with the repercussions of the tragic B737 MAX accidents while Airbus struggled with aircraft delivery delays. During 2019, we saw more than 20 carriers fail but, despite this, global airlines' net profit remained robust at an estimated US$26 billion. These failures underpinned our previous years' assertion that, despite high load factors, there were too many cheap seats available. These airline failures resulted in a record number of aircraft being released to the market. Lessors were able to successfully re-market and re-deploy many of their aircraft, reflecting strong market appetite for aircraft transitions and air travel demand."

Steve Mason, Senior Vice President - Commercial added: "Looking ahead to 2020, geopolitical uncertainty and international trade tensions will define the year. Through this turbulence will emerge opportunity. While improved airline profitability is forecasted, many sizeable carriers remain on life support. The still-buoyant global economy and the expanding middle class will continue to drive long-term passenger demand, supporting airline capacity growth. For lessors, investment grade rated players with global platforms are best positioned to seize any opportunities that may be presented. While efficiency improvements have long been a hallmark of aviation, 2020 is set to be the baseline year for the sector's carbon emission offsetting and reduction scheme which will transition air travel to carbon neutral growth."

ENDS

About Avolon

Headquartered in Ireland, with offices in the United States, Dubai, Singapore, Hong Kong and Shanghai, Avolon provides aircraft leasing and lease management services. Avolon is 70% owned by an indirect subsidiary of Bohai Leasing Co., Ltd., a public company listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SLE: 000415) and 30% owned by ORIX Aviation Systems, a subsidiary of ORIX Corporation which is listed on the Tokyo and New York Stock Exchanges (TSE: 8591; NYSE: IX). Avolon is the world's third largest aircraft leasing business with an owned, managed and committed fleet, as of 31 December 2019 of 925 aircraft.

Website: www.avolon.aero
Twitter: @avolon_aero

Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This document includes forward-looking statements, beliefs or opinions, including statements with respect to Avolon's business, financial condition, results of operations and plans. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and all of which are based on our management's current beliefs and expectations about future events. Forward-looking statements are sometimes identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe," "expects," "may," "will," "could," "should," "shall," "risk," "intends," "estimates," "aims," "plans," "predicts," "continues," "assumes," "positioned" or "anticipates" or the negative thereof, other variations thereon or comparable terminology or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. Forward-looking statements may and often do differ materially from actual results. No assurance can be given that such future results will be achieved.


These press releases may also interest you

17 fév 2020
A new book "The Future of Public Transportation" written by transit industry veteran Paul Comfort and over forty top public transportation leaders, futurists and associations is being published March 1, 2020. It examines the coming technological...

17 fév 2020
The Transportation Safety Board of Canada (TSB) is deploying a team of investigators to the site of a Cessna 150 aircraft accident that occurred near Montréal/Les Cèdres Airport, Quebec. The TSB will gather information and assess the occurrence. The...

17 fév 2020
Miller Honda?a dealer based in Winchester, Virginia, serving parts of Virginia and West Virginia?is offering special leasing prices, APR rates and loyalty discounts on select new 2020 and 2019 Honda vehicles as part of their Presidents' Day Event....

17 fév 2020
Apple Valley Hyundai is a dealership based out of Winchester, Virginia that serves both Virginia and West Virginia. It has a Presidents' Day Event going through Saturday, February 29, 2020 where potential buyers and lessees can receive 0% financing,...

17 fév 2020
Corporación América Airports S.A. , ("CAAP" or the "Company") the largest private sector airport operator in the world by number of airports, reported today preliminary unchanged year-over-year passenger traffic in January 2020. Passenger...

17 fév 2020
The Minister of Transport, the Honourable Marc Garneau, issued the following statement today: "As Minister of Transport, I have a duty to ensure that our rail system and its infrastructure are as safe as possible. I take this responsibility very...



News published on 19 january 2020 at 07:05 and distributed by: