Le Lézard
Classified in: Business
Subjects: SVY, FOR, AVO

Stratfor Names Key Geopolitical Trends for the Third Quarter of 2019


AUSTIN, Texas, June 18, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Stratfor, the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform, identifies the critical geopolitical trends that will shape the actions of nations and industries in the months ahead. In its 3rd Quarter forecast for 2019, Stratfor analysts provide important insight into the intricacies of adapting U.S. trade policy with China, Mexico, Japan, the EU and the UK.

Stratfor's Third Quarter Forecast for 2019 includes essential calls for global organizations and individuals 
Credit: Shutterstock.com (PRNewsfoto/Stratfor)

A deepening standoff with Beijing could lead the U.S. to impose 25 percent tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports. Tariff threats against Mexico over immigration, although averted late in the second quarter, remain a lingering cloud over the relationship between the United States and its third-largest trading partner. Differing reactions to Trump's threat of auto tariffs against Japan and the EU demonstrate the geopolitical risks for the United States' relationships.

"Global trade risks overall are dragging on global economic growth," said Stratfor's Vice President of Global Analysis, Reva Goujon. "But President Trump appears to be operating under the assumption that the U.S. economy is on solid enough footing to justify tariffs, both as a wide-ranging negotiating tactic and as a means to drive down the U.S. trade deficit."

The White House will also have to balance escalating and competing foreign policy priorities. Iran is a primary target. The White House hopes that choking off Iranian exports and inflicting heavy economic pain on the Islamic Republic will drive Tehran to the negotiating table. That is not likely to happen, certainly not in the third quarter. More likely, as attacks on shipping traffic continue and Iran re-starts parts of its nuclear program, White House hawks may feel empowered to argue for punitive strikes against Iran.

Stratfor's 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast is designed to help companies, governments and globally engaged individuals stay focused on strategic plans. Stratfor's forecasting for the Third-Quarter focuses on the true geopolitical risks and opportunities amid a chaotic trade and political environment.

Other insights from Stratfor's 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast:

The complete 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast is now available at Worldview.Stratfor.com.

About Stratfor
As the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform, Stratfor brings valuable context to global events, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. By leveraging a deep understanding of history, politics and geography in conjunction with our unique methodology, Stratfor delivers informed perspectives on today's events and develops a more accurate view of the future. Information about individual, team and enterprise membership is available at Stratfor.com.

For more information, contact:
Emily Donahue
Stratfor Director of Public Relations
pr@stratfor.com
512.744.4309

 

Stratfor Logo (PRNewsfoto/Stratfor)

SOURCE Stratfor


These press releases may also interest you

at 16:10
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. will hold its second quarter financial results webcast on Monday, July 20, 2020. Participating on the webcast will be Lip-Bu Tan, chief executive officer, and John Wall, senior vice president and chief financial...

at 16:10
Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. ("TSLX" or "the Company") announced today that it will release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2020 on Tuesday, August 4, 2020, after the market closes. TSLX invites all interested...

at 16:10
Mattel, Inc. today announced that it plans to release its second quarter 2020 financial results on Thursday, July 23, 2020, at approximately 4:05 p.m. Eastern time. Following this, Mattel will host a conference call and webcast at 5:00 p.m. Eastern...

at 16:10
Brookfield Real Assets Income Fund Inc. (the "Fund") today announced that its Board of Directors declared the Fund's monthly distributions for July, August and September 2020. MonthRecord DateEx DatePayable DateAmount per ShareJuly 2020July 15,...

at 16:08
American Jewish Committee (AJC) and the Lithuanian Jewish Community are jointly calling on the Speaker of the Seimas, Lithuania's legislature, to stop a resolution honoring a member of the antisemitic Lithuanian Activist Front. "We are deeply...

at 16:06
Trading resumes in: Company: Sona Nanotech Inc. CSE Symbol: SONA (all issues) Resumption (ET): 8:00 AM 7/3/2020 IIROC can make a decision to impose a temporary suspension (halt) of trading in a security of a publicly-listed company. Trading halts...



News published on 18 june 2019 at 03:00 and distributed by: