Le Lézard
Classified in: Business
Subjects: SVY, FOR, AVO

Stratfor Names Key Geopolitical Trends for the Third Quarter of 2019

AUSTIN, Texas, June 18, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Stratfor, the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform, identifies the critical geopolitical trends that will shape the actions of nations and industries in the months ahead. In its 3rd Quarter forecast for 2019, Stratfor analysts provide important insight into the intricacies of adapting U.S. trade policy with China, Mexico, Japan, the EU and the UK.

Stratfor's Third Quarter Forecast for 2019 includes essential calls for global organizations and individuals 
Credit: Shutterstock.com (PRNewsfoto/Stratfor)

A deepening standoff with Beijing could lead the U.S. to impose 25 percent tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports. Tariff threats against Mexico over immigration, although averted late in the second quarter, remain a lingering cloud over the relationship between the United States and its third-largest trading partner. Differing reactions to Trump's threat of auto tariffs against Japan and the EU demonstrate the geopolitical risks for the United States' relationships.

"Global trade risks overall are dragging on global economic growth," said Stratfor's Vice President of Global Analysis, Reva Goujon. "But President Trump appears to be operating under the assumption that the U.S. economy is on solid enough footing to justify tariffs, both as a wide-ranging negotiating tactic and as a means to drive down the U.S. trade deficit."

The White House will also have to balance escalating and competing foreign policy priorities. Iran is a primary target. The White House hopes that choking off Iranian exports and inflicting heavy economic pain on the Islamic Republic will drive Tehran to the negotiating table. That is not likely to happen, certainly not in the third quarter. More likely, as attacks on shipping traffic continue and Iran re-starts parts of its nuclear program, White House hawks may feel empowered to argue for punitive strikes against Iran.

Stratfor's 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast is designed to help companies, governments and globally engaged individuals stay focused on strategic plans. Stratfor's forecasting for the Third-Quarter focuses on the true geopolitical risks and opportunities amid a chaotic trade and political environment.

Other insights from Stratfor's 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast:

The complete 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast is now available at Worldview.Stratfor.com.

About Stratfor
As the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform, Stratfor brings valuable context to global events, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. By leveraging a deep understanding of history, politics and geography in conjunction with our unique methodology, Stratfor delivers informed perspectives on today's events and develops a more accurate view of the future. Information about individual, team and enterprise membership is available at Stratfor.com.

For more information, contact:
Emily Donahue
Stratfor Director of Public Relations


Stratfor Logo (PRNewsfoto/Stratfor)

SOURCE Stratfor

These press releases may also interest you

at 18:27
Today, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared on Washington Watch with Tony Perkins, a national radio show which airs on more than 330 stations across the country. On the show, Secretary Pompeo shared about the Trump administration's creation of the...

at 18:20
Insight Enterprises, Inc. (the "Company") today announced that it will release financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2019 prior to market open on Wednesday, November 6, 2019 and will also host a conference call and live webcast at...

at 18:19
Greg E. Lindberg announced today that he has retained Louis Freeh, former Federal Judge and FBI Director, and his firm Freeh, Sporkin & Sullivan to examine and render advice regarding financial aspects of Mr. Lindberg's business entities, with...

at 18:18
Green Growth Brands Inc. (GGB or the Company) today reported its results for the fourth quarter and full year ended June 30, 2019. The Company reported total revenue for fiscal 2019 of $15.7 million. For the three month period ended June 30, 2019,...

at 18:15
Suncrest Bank today announced that the company will host its third quarter earnings webcast on Tuesday, October 29, 2019. The company's third quarter earnings report will be released after the market closes on Monday, October 28, 2019. WEBCAST...

at 18:08
FlightHub and its U.S. affiliate JustFly, leading tech travel companies generating over $3B a year in sales, are expanding their executive team to support the massive growth they have been experiencing in recent years, as well as to prepare for...

News published on 18 june 2019 at 03:00 and distributed by: