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California housing affordability drops to lowest level in 10 years, C.A.R. reports


LOS ANGELES, Nov. 2, 2017 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- California's housing affordability hit a 10-year low as tight housing inventory drove home prices higher and reduced purchasing power for homebuyers in the third quarter, primarily in previously more affordable regions such as the Inland Empire and Central Valley, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS (PRNewsFoto/C.A.R.)

The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in third-quarter 2017 fell to 28 percent, down from 29 percent in the second quarter of 2017 and down from 31 percent in the third quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). This is the 18th consecutive quarter that the index has been below 40 percent and the lowest since third-quarter 2015. California's housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the first quarter of 2012.

C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for homebuyers in the state.

A minimum annual income of $112,100 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $555,680 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the third quarter of 2017. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,800, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.16 percent. The effective composite interest rate in second-quarter 2017 was 4.09 percent and 3.76 percent in the third quarter of 2016. 

Of particular note, housing affordability in Los Angeles County dropped 6 points from an index of 28 in the second quarter to an index of 22 in the third quarter as the area's median home price jumped $81,000 in one quarter to reach nearly $600,000. Meanwhile, affordability improved in the Bay Area as prices leveled off from peaks across the region, most notably an $80,000 decline in San Francisco and a $77,500 decrease in Marin.

The affordability of condominiums and townhomes dipped in third-quarter 2017 compared to the previous quarter with 38 percent of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $440,000 median-priced condominium/townhome, down from 39 in the second quarter. An annual income of $88,770 was required to make monthly payments of $2,220. Thirty-eight percent of households could afford to purchase the $443,400 priced condo or townhome in second-quarter 2017.

Key points from the third-quarter 2017 Housing Affordability report include:

Housing Affordability slides (click link to open)

Affordability peak versus current
Annual required income peak vs. current
PITI peak versus current
CA housing affordability by quarter (2006-2017)
Housing affordability by county

See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.

Follow us on Twitter @CAR Media and @CAREALTORS®
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Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.


CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Traditional Housing Affordability Index

Third Quarter 2017


C.A.R. Region

Housing

Affordability
Index

Median Home

Price

Monthly Payment
Including Taxes &
Insurance

Minimum

Qualifying Income

Calif. Single-family home

28

$          555,680

$               2,800

$          112,100

Calif. Condo/Townhome

38

$          440,000

$               2,220

$            88,770

Los Angeles Metro Area

30

$          502,000

$               2,530

$          101,270

Inland Empire

43

$          339,900

$               1,710

$            68,570

San Francisco Bay Area

23

$          860,000

$               4,340

$          173,500

United States

55

$          254,000

$               1,280

$            51,240






San Francisco Bay Area





Alameda

20

$          865,000

$               4,360

$          174,500

Contra-Costa

33

$          624,450

$               3,150

$          125,980

Marin

18

$       1,225,000

$               6,180

$          247,130

Napa

26

$          653,000

$               3,290

$          131,740

San Francisco

13

$       1,370,000

$               6,910

$          276,380

San Mateo

15

$       1,441,250

$               7,270

$          290,760

Santa Clara

17

$       1,165,000

$               5,880

$          235,030

Solano

43

$          415,750

$               2,100

$            83,870

Sonoma

25

$          630,000

$               3,180

$          127,100

Southern California





Los Angeles

22

$          595,110

$               3,000

$          120,060

Orange County

21

$          790,000

$               3,980

$          159,370

Riverside County

38

$          387,000

$               1,950

$            78,070

San Bernardino

51

$          270,000

$               1,360

$            54,470

San Diego

26

$          607,000

$               3,060

$          122,460

Ventura

27

$          634,000

$               3,200

$          127,900

Central Coast





Monterey

22

$          585,000

$               2,950

$          118,020

San Luis Obispo

23

$          599,000

$               3,020

$          120,840

Santa Barbara

20

$          664,540

$               3,350

$          134,060

Santa Cruz

17

$          830,000

$               4,190

$          167,440

Central Valley





Fresno

45

$          259,900

$               1,310

$            52,430

Kern (Bakersfield)

53

$          235,000

$               1,190

$            47,410

Kings County

52

$          225,000

$               1,130

$            45,390

Madera

41

$          280,000

$               1,410

$            56,490

Merced

47

$          255,000

$               1,290

$            51,440

Placer County

44

$          455,000

$               2,290

$            91,790

Sacramento

43

$          350,000

$               1,770

$            70,610

San Benito

31

$          550,000

$               2,770

$          110,960

San Joaquin

41

$          352,250

$               1,780

$            71,060

Stanislaus

46

$          295,000

$               1,490

$            59,510

Tulare

51

$          225,000

$               1,130

$            45,390

Other Calif. Counties





Amador

44

$          320,000

$               1,610

$            64,560

Butte County

40

$          299,900

$               1,510

$            60,500

El Dorado County

41

$          462,750

$               2,330

$            93,350

Humboldt

33

$          318,000

$               1,600

$            64,150

Lake County

38

$          249,950

$               1,260

$            50,420

Mariposa/Tuolumne

45

$          289,000

$               1,460

$            58,300

Mendocino

28

$          391,000

$               1,970

$            78,880

Shasta

48

$          250,000

$               1,260

$            50,430

Siskiyou County

49

$          203,500

$               1,030

$            41,050

Sutter

51

$          280,600

$               1,420

$            56,610

Tehama

56

$          208,500

$               1,050

$            42,060

Yolo

34

$          435,000

$               2,190

$            87,760

Yuba

43

$          268,520

$               1,350

$            54,170

r = revised



CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Traditional Housing Affordability Index

Third Quarter 2017


STATE/REGION/COUNTY

Q3 2017

Q2 2017


Q3 2016


Calif. Single-family home

28

29


31


Calif. Condo/Townhome

38

39

r

40


Los Angeles Metro Area

30

31


34


Inland Empire

43

43


47

r

San Francisco Bay Area

23

21


27

r

United States

55

55


57








San Francisco Bay Area






Alameda

20

19


24

r

Contra-Costa (Central County)

33

31


37

r

Marin

18

17


19


Napa

26

25


25


San Francisco

13

12


14


San Mateo

15

14


15


Santa Clara

17

17


22


Solano

43

44


45


Sonoma

25

25


27


Southern California






Los Angeles

22

28


26


Orange County

21

21


23


Riverside County

38

39


42


San Bernardino

51

51


55


San Diego

26

26


28

r

Ventura

27

27


34

r

Central Coast






Monterey

22

21


25


San Luis Obispo

23

26


27

r

Santa Barbara

20

16


20


Santa Cruz

17

17


18


Central Valley






Fresno

45

47


50


Kern (Bakersfield)

53

54


56


Kings County

52

52


58

r

Madera

41

44


48

r

Merced

47

48


51

r

Placer County

44

43


47

r

Sacramento

43

45


46

r

San Benito

31

33


34


San Joaquin

41

43


45

r

Stanislaus

46

47


49

r

Tulare

51

52


50

r

Other Calif. Counties






Amador

44

42


53


Butte County

40

39


44


El Dorado County

41

40


40


Humboldt

33

36


40


Lake County

38

38


46


Mariposa And Tuolumne

45

46


50


Mendocino

28

27


33


Shasta

48

47


48


Siskiyou County

49

47


51


Sutter

51

53


51


Tehama

56

57


59


Yolo

34

35


36


Yuba

43

43


46


 

SOURCE CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS


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