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California home sales tick higher from September, log lower from a year ago, C.A.R. reports


LOS ANGELES, Nov. 16, 2017 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- California home sales lost momentum in October to post the first back-to-back annual sales decline in more than a year as a stubbornly low supply of available homes for sale continued to plague the market, especially at the more affordable price ranges, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.  

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS (PRNewsFoto/C.A.R.)

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 431,020 units in October, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2017 if sales maintained the October pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The October sales figure was up 0.8 percent from the 427,460 level in September and down 3.4 percent compared with home sales in October 2016 of a revised 446,150. Year-to-date sales are running 1.7 percent ahead of last year's pace, but the annual sales pace has been declining since the first quarter.

"As we enter the fall homebuying season, we're seeing signs of the market slowing as eroding affordability and persistently low housing inventory cut into home sales," said 2018 C.A.R. President Steve White. "Moreover, the looming tax reform bill that eliminates important incentives that help first-time homebuyers and existing homeowners will only further adversely impact the housing market."

After reaching its highest level in a decade in August, the statewide median price declined for the second straight month in October but remained above the $500,000 mark for the eighth straight month. The $546,430 October median price dropped 1.6 percent from September's $555,410 price but climbed 6.1 percent from the revised $515,170 recorded in October 2016. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling, as well as a general change in values.

"While October's year-to-year price gain was the lowest in five months, we're still seeing solid price increases, especially in the San Francisco Bay Area. In fact, 20 of the tracked counties recorded strong double-digit, annual price gains," said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie-Appleton-Young. "As for home sales, we expect to see year-over-year sales softening in the upcoming months, primarily because of the high sales levels posted in October and November of 2016."

Other key points from C.A.R.'s October 2017 resale housing report include:

Graphics (click links to open):

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

*Sales-to-list price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price and is expressed as a percentage.  A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property.  It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet.  C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 39 counties.

Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

October 2017 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

October 2017

Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes

Sales

State/Region/County

Oct.

2017

Sept.

2017


Oct.

2016


Price MTM% Chg

Price YTY% Chg

 Sales MTM% Chg

 Sales YTY% Chg

Calif. Single-family home (SAAR)

$546,430

$555,410


$515,170

r

-1.6%

6.1%

0.8%

-3.4%

Calif. Condo/Townhomes

$450,840

$450,150

r

$419,820

r

0.2%

7.4%

0.6%

3.3%

Los Angeles Metro Area

$492,340

$504,990


$464,110

r

1.0%

8.9%

1.6%

2.6%

Inland Empire

$342,130

$343,260


$314,210

r

-0.3%

8.9%

1.4%

5.5%

San Francisco Bay Area

$892,720

$852,230


$803,190

r

4.8%

11.1%

3.6%

0.5%











San Francisco Bay Area










Alameda

$862,450

$853,000


$775,000


1.1%

11.3%

22.5%

12.2%

Contra-Costa

$615,000

$605,000


$535,650


1.7%

14.8%

2.3%

6.1%

Marin

$1,252,500

$1,250,000


$1,225,000


0.2%

2.2%

-4.0%

-17.1%

Napa

$649,000

$632,500


$618,250


2.6%

5.0%

-24.5%

-24.5%

San Francisco

$1,594,000

$1,350,000


$1,407,500


18.1%

13.3%

39.4%

2.7%

San Mateo

$1,522,500

$1,400,500


$1,350,000


8.7%

12.8%

4.4%

-2.3%

Santa Clara

$1,242,500

$1,180,000


$1,047,500


5.3%

18.6%

-7.1%

-5.7%

Solano

$415,000

$422,500


$392,500


-1.8%

5.7%

6.3%

1.2%

Sonoma

$645,000

$620,000


$595,000


4.0%

8.4%

-13.4%

-7.4%

Southern California










Los Angeles

$580,360

$606,110

r

$536,760

r

-4.2%

8.1%

7.0%

3.1%

Orange

$786,000

$799,000


$750,000


-1.6%

4.8%

-8.4%

-1.6%

Riverside

$382,500

$385,700


$355,950


-0.8%

7.5%

1.3%

1.0%

San Bernardino

$274,450

$279,000


$245,000


-1.6%

12.0%

1.6%

12.5%

San Diego

$603,000

$605,000


$576,620


-0.3%

4.6%

3.5%

1.9%

Ventura

$635,000

$609,000


$599,000


4.3%

6.0%

-4.7%

-7.5%

Central Coast










Monterey

$575,000

$569,900


$499,900


0.9%

15.0%

10.1%

10.1%

San Luis Obispo

$560,000

$607,500


$538,500


-7.8%

4.0%

-5.8%

12.0%

Santa Barbara

$653,000

$707,000


$595,000


-7.6%

9.7%

-6.2%

14.7%

Santa Cruz

$867,000

$845,000


$799,900


2.6%

8.4%

3.4%

34.3%

Central Valley










Fresno

$254,950

$265,000

r

$240,000

r

-3.8%

6.2%

-0.8%

6.4%

Glenn

$215,000

$207,500


$185,050


3.6%

16.2%

-31.8%

-16.7%

Kern

$229,500

$234,700


$227,000


-2.2%

1.1%

-1.0%

8.3%

Kings

$213,500

$223,000


$217,000


-4.3%

-1.6%

1.2%

-1.2%

Madera

$251,980

$269,900

r

$225,000

r

-6.6%

12.0%

-16.9%

-21.6%

Merced

$250,000

$260,000


$233,250


-3.8%

7.2%

-5.8%

7.4%

Placer

$455,000

$450,000


$436,000


1.1%

4.4%

1.3%

10.5%

Sacramento

$349,900

$347,750


$320,000


0.6%

9.3%

-2.7%

-4.3%

San Benito

$545,000

$508,500


$506,000


7.2%

7.7%

27.5%

8.5%

San Joaquin

$340,000

$355,000


$320,000


-4.2%

6.3%

-2.9%

3.3%

Stanislaus

$295,000

$295,000


$280,000


0.0%

5.4%

-3.7%

2.5%

Tulare

$225,000

$229,950


$205,000


-2.2%

9.8%

-9.2%

17.4%

Other Calif. Counties










Amador

$309,000

$315,000


$276,500


-1.9%

11.8%

9.3%

5.4%

Butte

$307,700

$311,900


$293,000


-1.3%

5.0%

7.3%

-15.2%

Calaveras

$298,000

$340,000


$300,050


-12.4%

-0.7%

7.2%

2.0%

Del Norte

$220,000

$224,300


$264,500


-1.9%

-16.8%

38.9%

31.6%

El Dorado

$445,000

$449,950


$419,000


-1.1%

6.2%

-2.5%

6.4%

Humboldt

$305,450

$325,000


$305,000


-6.0%

0.1%

-2.5%

5.5%

Lake

$257,500

$234,250


$262,500


9.9%

-1.9%

-18.6%

-10.3%

Lassen

$160,000

$145,500


$142,500


10.0%

12.3%

-3.6%

68.8%

Mariposa

$275,000

$299,000


$267,250


-8.0%

2.9%

57.1%

-21.4%

Mendocino

$405,000

$419,000


$360,000


-3.3%

12.5%

-22.2%

4.3%

Mono

$715,000

$632,500


$379,000


13.0%

88.7%

-31.8%

66.7%

Nevada

$388,500

$410,000


$360,000


-5.2%

7.9%

10.3%

6.3%

Plumas

$320,000

$275,000


$215,000


16.4%

48.8%

14.6%

34.3%

Shasta

$255,000

$244,900


$249,000


4.1%

2.4%

-0.8%

9.2%

Siskiyou

$217,500

$187,500


$182,500


16.0%

19.2%

-10.2%

0.0%

Sutter

$285,000

$275,000


$250,500


3.6%

13.8%

8.3%

8.3%

Tehama

$210,000

$191,750


$163,000


9.5%

28.8%

34.4%

22.9%

Tuolumne

$266,000

$282,000


$221,000


-5.7%

20.4%

13.4%

45.3%

Yolo

$445,500

$432,000


$381,250


3.1%

16.9%

0.0%

15.2%

Yuba

$271,950

$274,900


$236,000


-1.1%

15.2%

8.9%

8.9%

r = revised
NA = not available

October 2017 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

October 2017

Unsold Inventory Index

Median Time on Market

State/Region/County

Oct. 2017

Sept. 2017


Oct. 2016


Oct.

2017

Sept. 2017


Oct.

 2016


Calif. Single-family home

3.0

3.2


3.4

r

21.0

20.0


29.0

r

Calif. Condo/Townhomes

2.3

2.4


2.8

r

16.0

15.0


27.0

r

Los Angeles Metro Area

3.3

3.4


3.8

r

27.0

24.0


42.0

r

Inland Empire

3.6

3.7


4.3


31.0

27.0


44.0

r

San Francisco Bay Area

1.9

2.2


2.3


20.0

16.0


15.0

r











r

San Francisco Bay Area











Alameda

1.5

2.1


1.9


13.0

13.0


15.0

r

Contra Costa

2.0

2.2


2.4


15.0

14.0


15.0

r

Marin

2.8

3.4


2.6


29.0

38.0


33.0

r

Napa

5.5

4.6


4.5


61.0

49.5


60.0

r

San Francisco

1.6

2.6


2.1


14.0

15.0


16.0

r

San Mateo

1.7

1.9


2.1


11.0

11.0


14.0

r

Santa Clara

1.4

1.4


2.0


9.0

10.0


14.0

r

Solano

2.0

2.4


2.7


36.0

34.0


40.0

r

Sonoma

2.8

3.0


2.9


39.0

41.0


47.0

r

Southern California











Los Angeles

2.9

3.1


3.5


21.0

19.0


34.0

r

Orange

3.1

3.1


3.6


28.0

26.0


48.0

r

Riverside

3.7

3.7


4.5


29.0

26.0


46.0

r

San Bernardino

3.5

3.6


4.0


34.0

27.0


41.0

r

San Diego

2.7

3.0


3.3


19.0

16.0


19.0

r

Ventura

4.6

4.7


4.5


51.0

50.0


58.0

r

Central Coast











Monterey

4.1

4.7


4.9


25.0

27.0


36.0

r

San Luis Obispo

4.0

3.9


4.8


30.5

32.0


34.0

r

Santa Barbara

4.2

4.1


5.1


26.0

31.0


29.0

r

Santa Cruz

2.9

3.4


3.8


19.0

18.0


33.0

r

Central Valley











Fresno

3.0

3.1


3.7


16.0

12.0


18.0

r

Glenn

5.5

3.5


5.0


47.0

30.5


40.5

r

Kern

3.4

3.5


4.1


26.0

22.0


31.0

r

Kings

3.4

3.3


3.4


24.5

23.0


17.0

r

Madera

4.9

5.5


4.5


23.0

22.0


35.5

r

Merced

3.2

2.8


3.0


19.0

14.0


36.0

r

Placer

2.5

2.8


2.9


20.0

17.0


20.0

r

Sacramento

2.5

2.6


2.4


13.0

13.0


15.0

r

San Benito

3.5

4.5


3.8


36.0

13.0


25.0

r

San Joaquin

2.6

2.6


2.9


17.0

16.0


22.0

r

Stanislaus

2.6

2.6


3.2


15.0

18.0


18.0

r

Tulare

4.3

3.7


4.3


21.5

20.0


21.0

r

Other Calif. Counties











Amador

4.2

4.9


4.3


38.0

46.0


48.5

r

Butte

2.9

3.4


2.9


24.0

15.0


27.0

r

Calaveras

5.3

6.2


5.0


58.5

41.0


55.5

r

Del Norte

6.2

9.2


8.1


115.0

71.0


134.0

r

El Dorado

3.5

3.9


3.5


48.0

41.0


40.0

r

Humboldt

4.7

4.7


3.4


24.0

34.0


34.0

r

Lake

6.3

5.4


5.4


36.5

47.0


69.5

r

Lassen

6.4

6.8


0.0


93.0

89.5


98.0

r

Mariposa

5.4

9.3


6.0


71.0

45.0


91.0

r

Mendocino

6.4

5.4


7.1


55.0

53.0


73.0

r

Mono

5.5

4.5


14.0


125.0

88.0


112.0

r

Nevada

4.0

4.7


3.9


30.0

40.0


34.0

r

Plumas

6.6

9.0


9.5


117.0

114.0


140.0

r

Shasta

4.2

4.2


4.4


33.0

27.0


42.0

r

Siskiyou

6.5

6.5


6.1


31.0

45.0


42.5

r

Sutter

2.9

3.1


2.3


24.0

19.5


22.0

r

Tehama

5.2

7.6


6.7


91.0

55.0


69.0

r

Tuolumne

3.8

5.0


6.6


63.5

42.0


63.0

r

Yolo

2.0

2.3


3.0


20.0

17.5


18.5

r

Yuba

2.8

3.0


2.5


22.0

14.0


19.0

r

r = revised
NA = not available

 

SOURCE CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS


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